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Crown Green Handicap

Paul Culley

Team: VulcanDivision: Division 2Last updated: 10/28/2026

Rating

962

Current Handicap

8
Honours
Season:

22

Matches Played

17

Wins

5

Losses

77%

Win Rate

8.6

Avg Win Margin

3.4

Avg Loss Margin

12-1

Home Record

5-4

Away Record

9%

Handicap Confidence

Low Confidence
12 / 41 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 8/12/2025

Only 12 of the 41 matches needed for full confidence in the 2024, 2025, 2026 window. The rating is pulled toward the league average, so the handicap may shift noticeably as more results arrive.

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: Hot Streak 157/15
✦SEASON HIGHLIGHTS

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 22 matches

+8 Rising
Win on the night Loss on the nightLower handicap = stronger player

The line re-checks the handicap after every match — from results, winning and losing margins, the strength of who was played, and home or away. Each dot is the number that applied going into the next game.

12 Apr10 May7 Jun26 Jul27 May24 Jun15 Jul12 Aug-125811

Gives 8 more chalks than at the start of this period.

Started0
Lowest0
Current8
Win Percentage(40%)
75%
score+0.50→contribution+0.20
Avg Winning Margin(25%)
8.2
score+0.04→contribution+0.01
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
3.3
score+0.78→contribution+0.12
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
75%
score+0.50→contribution+0.05
Opponent Strength(10%)
936
score+0.43→contribution+0.04
Weighted Score+0.419
Sample Size Confidence
9%(12/41 matches)
Rating1126 → shrunk 1011→ adjusted 961
Recent 3-Season Rating (2024, 2025, 2026)970
Recency Blend16% (12 recent matches)
Final Rating962
Handicap
8

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 300). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 41, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

17W5L22 matches·77.3% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Vulcan2025Division 2129375%
Garswood Hall B2022Division 287187.5%
Garswood Hall A2022Division 121150%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
8/12/2025Andy TurnerH21-7WIN+14LeagueDivision 2
8/5/2025Greg WinstanleyA14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision 2
7/22/2025Ronnie SextonA21-8WIN+13LeagueDivision 2
7/15/2025A GradyH21-17WIN+4LeagueDivision 2
7/8/2025Noel ParrH21-13WIN+8LeagueDivision 2
7/1/2025Alan MarshH21-18WIN+3LeagueDivision 2
6/24/2025Mark SweetA20-21LOSS-1LeagueDivision 2
6/10/2025Mike HitchcoxA21-12WIN+9LeagueDivision 2
6/3/2025Ed WebsterA19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision 2
5/27/2025Karl MellingH21-20WIN+1LeagueDivision 2
5/13/2025Alan BurrowsH21-5WIN+16LeagueDivision 2
5/6/2025Roy KnowlesA21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision 2
7/26/2022John WhiteA17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision 1
7/19/2022Steve DonnellyH21-5WIN+16LeagueDivision 1
6/14/2022Ian MarshH18-21LOSS-3LeagueDivision 2
6/7/2022Mal GradyH21-13WIN+8LeagueDivision 2
5/24/2022Craig BrandH21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision 2
5/17/2022D WoodsA21-10WIN+11LeagueDivision 2
5/10/2022Eric DaviesH21-10WIN+11LeagueDivision 2
4/26/2022D HughesH21-13WIN+8LeagueDivision 2
4/19/2022Tony PilkingtonA21-19WIN+2LeagueDivision 2
4/12/2022George MarshH21-9WIN+12LeagueDivision 2

Current Streak

1wins

On a hot run

Longest Win Run

7

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

1

Career worst losing streak

Last 580% win rate
WLWWW
Last 1070% win rate↑ improving
WLWWWWLWLW
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
Andy Turner101100%8/12/2025
Greg Winstanley0110%8/5/2025
Ronnie Sexton101100%7/22/2025
A Grady101100%7/15/2025
Noel Parr101100%7/8/2025
Alan Marsh101100%7/1/2025
Mark Sweet0110%6/24/2025
Mike Hitchcox101100%6/10/2025
Ed Webster0110%6/3/2025
Karl Melling101100%5/27/2025
Biggest Win
Alan Burrows (+16)5/13/2025
Heaviest Defeat
Greg Winstanley (-7)8/5/2025
Best Season
202280% · 10 matches
Worst Season
202575% · 12 matches
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
82% → 73%declining
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
95022 known · 0 unknown
vs Strong Opponents (rating ≥ 1000)
3-0100% win rate
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
14-574% win rate

By Division

Division 216-4 (80%)
Division 11-1 (50%)
Division 150%
1W·1L·2 played
Division 280%
16W·4L·20 played

Debut

Apr 12, 2022

Latest

Aug 12, 2025

Seasons Active

2 (3.3 yr span)

Matches / Season

11.0 (22 total)

Seasons

20222025